World War III may have started today

History will remember (perhaps), God forbid, that the third world war began Wednesday, September 30, 2015.

In 1914, it started a June 28 by the assassination in Sarajevo of Archduke of Austria. At the time, of course, no one had imagined that the attack, perpetrated far from the capitals, would lead to the slaughter of the Great War. This is the game of alliances and irresponsibility "sleepwalkers" which then governed the great powers that have led the world into the abyss.

Why a comparison with today ? It was learned, that on September 30, two new apparently less serious but which, combined, could be the double spark an explosion that many fear for some time. What is it about ?

First, Saudi Arabia would now boarded two ships flying the flag of his intimate enemy, Iran. The boats were, apparently, full of arms to the rebels outhistes Yemen that Riyadh fight militarily. This arrest is clearly a hostile act, if not war.

It occurs in a particularly tense atmosphere between the two poles of Islam. Tehran has fiercely criticized Saud, self-appointed guardians of the holy places, not ensure the basic safety of pilgrims to Mecca. An extremely serious accusation in these times of clashes between Shiite and Sunni.

That's not all. This Wednesday, September 30, Vladimir Putin made his puppet parliament vote by a law authorizing it to conduct a military operation in Syria. His aviation has already started shelling in Homs. It's known that on the field, the Russians will be allies Bashar regime and especially the Iranians. While opposite, West and Gulf Sunni countries conduct their own operations.

The two coalitions, which have, on several points, completely opposite objectives, risk finding themselves face to face. It seems, however, that Russian bombings that day had already struck a rebel position supported by the US - information that is not yet confirmed.

Anyway, so the fear is that the Kremlin, while at its outer statement to distract domestic economic rout, and Tehran, taken by the hubris (excessiveness) that followed the nuclear agreement of July to test the Maximum willingness of the other side. And see the Saudis, frightened by the rise of Shiite mortal enemy, cause its allies, including France, in an endless tussle, which could seriously degenerate.

Obviously, this nightmare scenario is not safe. It's not written that the present rulers are the "sleepwalking", they will not prevent military conflict from spreading beyond Syria and Iraq. But some actors of this part are so on edge that can not be excluded altogether.

By Vincent Jauvert for The OBS